The Black Swan Theory: Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST), CBS Corporation (CBS)

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:HST) has its shares plummet by -19.27% or $3.92 from its all-time high of $20.34, with HST attaining that price back on February 25, 2019. The drop in the price of the shares saw it stand at $16.42 per share. HST has been trading at a low of $15.51 over the past one year but it surged by 5.87% or $0.91 to reach the $16.42 mark. Following the massive rise in stock price, HST received more attention from investors and analysts. On Thursday, the stock plunged by 0.43%, which caused investors and analysts to excite about it. Following the plunge in price, the HST beta stands at 1.14, implying that its volatility level has gone up by -0.14 ahead of the general market. A look at the stock’s 200-day moving average shows that it is -8.91% below while its 50-day moving average shows that it is currently -0.99% below. Compared to 1.91% average daily volatility of past month, the stock’s average volatility for this week has increased by 0.15 as the volatility level currently stands at 2.06%.

Over the past seven days, the stock has witnessed a price dip by -0.55%. This massive drop in stock price has caught the attention of both investors and market traders. The stock has performed poorly over the past 52 weeks, dropping by -15.24% during that time frame and is now down by -1.5% since this point this year. HST has fell by -5.09% over the past 30 days, with its equity price losing% of its value over the past ninety days. These figures add up to see the stock record a shortfall of -13.12% over the past six months.

Market analysts from research firms still remain bullish about the short-term performance of HST. Most of them are of the view that the stock would be able to reach $18.85 over the next 12 months. If that happens, then the stock would witness a 14.8% rise in its price and that would see the stock’s market cap hit an astonishing $14 Billion. Analysts view this stock as a bearish at the moment as its average rating is 2.8. According to Reuters, most of the 14 analysts covering the stock at the moment believe it is a Buy. 4 of them rated HST as a Hold while 7 of them either rated it as a Buy or a Strong Buy. However, 3 of them advised investors to sell the stock if they have it or shouldn’t buy it if they don’t possess any.

The stock’s technical analysis reveals that its 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in a neutral position as it was able to attain 44.82 points. The trading volume now standing at 4738998 shares. The decrease of -2411002 shares in trading volume shows that traders and investors have shown less interest in the stock over the past few weeks. During that trading session, the average trading volume of HST was 7150000 shares, which is more than 0.66 times higher than its usual trading volume.

Analysts have set a 1-year price target for this stock, with most of them expecting it to reach $56.91/share over the next 12 months. If that happens, then CBS would witness a 50.64% rise from its current price. The price of the stock has been moving between $36.25 and $38.29. Not all analysts believe it would hit that target though, as some of them expect it to trade lower, as low as $35 per share. In the same breath, one analyst believes that the stock is set to soar even higher than expected, as the price target was set at $70.

The stock has an average rating of 2.4 which means that it has been rated as a Holdby most analysts. The stock is being covered by 21 analysts who gave a consensus recommendation of 2.4 which implies that it is currently in a neutral situation. Reuters looked into analysts covering CBS Corporation, and 6 of them believe that the stock is a Hold at the moment. 15 of the analysts rated it as a Buy or a Strong Buy while the remaining analysts (2) rated it as a sell at the moment.