The Mosaic Company (MOS): Value Investing: Business As Usual

The Mosaic Company, (MOS) shares ended October 11, 2019 trading at $20.72 which saw uptrend of -29.07% since the beginning of 2019. The price of the stock has risen by 31.61% from average 12-month price target of $27.27 expected by the analysts. For most investors, the 7.14% rally in the share price could have prompted them to buythe stock, but doing that would be a mistake as it would be taking into consideration only the short-term performance of the stock. Most analysts believed that the stock has the potential to rise by 112.36% or more. For The Mosaic Company to record further gainanalysts believe that the company has to hit $44 price target. The high price target for MOS for next 12 months currently stands at $44. This means that the highest 12 months price target is 112.36% above its last closing price. The median price target for the stock over the next 12 months is $26.7, which means that it could rise by 28.86% from its current position. Despite that, some analysts believe that it won’t perform excellent, setting a lower price target of $22 for the stock which means it could rise by 6.18%.

A look at the MOS stock today shows that it has lost -35.87% of its value over the past one year, which has led to some investors becoming concerned about the short-term performance of The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS). If we turn to the stock analysts in general, they revealed that most of them are still bullish about the chances of the shares. The consensus rating from analysts for The Mosaic Company (MOS) is 2.2 which is a ,neutral rating. Over the past week, the stock has been rated as a Buy 8 times while it has been rated as a Hold 4 times. The 52-week high price for MOS is $37.37 which is attained on November 08 while its 52-week low currently stands at $17.36 and was reached on August 28. At the moment, the stock is trading $-4.5 below its YTD moving average set at $25.22.

Moving on, The Mosaic Company (MOS) last released its earnings for the June 2019 quarter of the fiscal year. The company performed lower over the past three months, with its earnings down -33% year-over-year at $0.12. The company brought a surprise of -60 as analysts were predicting $0.3 per share. The revenue generated by The Mosaic Company in the June 2019 quarter declined by -1% to reach $2.18 billion. This is lowcompared to the $2.21 billion it recorded in the same quarter last year. To see what traders should watch in its September 2019 financial results, analysts have consensus earnings per share of $0.27 which is lowerthan the $0.75 recorded in the same quarter a year ago. Over the next 12 months, the earnings per share are expected to move by 65.04%. If it achieves that, then the company firmly believes that its long-term annual earnings growth rate target set at 4.12 % could be achieved. The company has also recorded a revenue of $9.53 billion over the past 12 months.

In order to determine if the stock is worthy of your patience, you should know that The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) is now trading at 31.3X the earnings per share recorded over the past 12 months. This is an uptrend compared to the readings of the sector which is 21.94X while the industry average stands at 24.44X. The most popular way to value a stock is to look at its historic Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio with the help of its earnings report over the past 12 months. The Mosaic Company was able to achieve an EPS of $0.66 during the last four quarters. The P/E ratio is widely known due to the fact that it is widely used, simple, effective, and, tautologically.

On Friday, October 11 of 2019, the 14-day Absolute ATR (Average True Range) for MOS moved by $0.82. Over the past seven days, the stock’s average daily volatility stood at 3.56%. A stock with a low volatility is usually a good one as it means that investors are very confident in the stock. The Mosaic Company’s trading volume has recently moved to 4.8 million, which is compared with the average daily volume of 5.2 million shares.

The daily chart for MOS, points out that the company has recorded -22.69% losses over the past six months. However, it is still 19.35% higher than its most recent low trading price. The performance of the stock over the past five days shows that it is up 6.86% though it is 1.52% above its three-week moving average. It is worthy to know that price action is not always clear. There are times when a stock will undergo some negatives, trade erratically within some range or even act very unpredictable. When that happens, then making use of moving averages makes the pattern clearer for traders. Comparing to 50-day SMA, the price of the stock has surged by 1.77% while it is down -18.17% against the 200-day SMA. This is usually seen as the last support line for a stock, as a move downward could signal a bearish trend or market. The daily chart of MOS reveals that it has lost some grounds as it ended Friday with a -5.73% fall over the past 30 days.